If you have any contacts on the Carbon Credits subject please let me know. Meanwhile I am reaching out to experts I know, including one we both most trust and admire, Susan Fallows Tierney a true expert on utility regulation and economic equity.
Tom — yes, I agree, Susan F. Tierney is The person to go to on these subjects. (She was in DC this past week, for a big-deal panel on Decarbonizing the Grid.)
For any onlookers: Sue is my younger sister (one of two), and is Tom F's older sister, and is our guide on these topics.
According to the dry days map, the Pacific Northwest is one of the dryer places in the US. Even west of the Cascades. That doesn't make sense to me. And in fact, I remember probably around 1990 give or take a few years, seeing the amount of rainfall in Seattle, where I lived as a small child, and Washington DC, where I was living at the time. In DC, when it rained, which was fairly frequently in summer, if I remember correctly, it POURED!!! In Seattle, it drizzled, but for days on end. Annual rainfall in both was around 39 inches.
As a 2-year resident of Seattle, 20 years ago, I understand the question. But there appears to be actual modeling and "data" behind this projection. I am not sure of how exactly they come up with these projections. (And 100% agree about your distinction between the drizzle in PNW and the DOWNPOURS in the summertime East Coast.) But I think HEAT.gov goes into more detail.
Quite by accident while reading the article I posted above under "something for the HEAT" map, I just learned that there has been a major change in the pattern of rain in Seattle, from one of the comments:
"One thing not mentioned in the article that I wonder about is how mycorrhiza can survive in increasingly dessicated soils - I'd think a certain amount of moisture is key for them to be able to do their thing. Here in the PNW the average rainfall is sort of on an even annual keel but its distribution pattern has changed - it comes more concentrated instead of in long stretches of mist and drizzle like we used to get; our summer heatwaves are getting stronger and hotter and the result is that our soils become seasonally desiccated to degrees never seen before. Even our native plants are seriously stressed in the summer. We'll probably be like California in another 15-25 years, if not sooner."
Question still remains, what will Texas & Congress do to meet these challenges? Not much until magical thinking and prayer chains are replaced by reason, science and courage to take on oil & gas money machines in Texas & neighbor Louisiana.
The Program on Negotiation (PON) is a university consortium dedicated to developing the theory and practice of negotiation and dispute resolution. As a community of scholars and practitioners, PON serves a unique role in the world negotiation community. Founded in 1983 as a special research project at Harvard Law School, PON includes faculty, students, and staff from Harvard University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Tufts University.
At PON, we are committed to developing the theory and practice of negotiation, to nurturing the next generation of negotiation teachers and scholars, and to helping students become more effective negotiators. We accomplish this through research, seminars, courses, conferences, publications and special events.
We believe that negotiation is an art and a science. Through different lenses, including law, business, government, psychology, economics, anthropology, the arts, and education, members of the PON community seek to better understand negotiations. Why did a deal not close that would have benefited both companies? Why did one country resolve differences peacefully, while another fought a bloody civil war? Why are some divorcing couples able to mediate their separation amicably, while others fight painfully and expensively in court?
There will always be conflict. In fact, many remark ruefully that conflict is a “growth industry.” Knowing how to negotiate to solve problems, make deals, build consensus, avoid violence, and manage intractable disputes is a competency that is vitally needed in the world.
The goal of reducing conflict and violence can seem like an impossible dream. At PON, we have the privilege of doing work in service to that mission, believing that increasing our understanding of negotiation and conflict management is one essential step forward.
Finally, welcome to our website. We invite you to explore the many resources it offers, and to find ways to connect to PON and each other whether you are a faculty member, student, practitioner, or a member of the public developing a budding interest in the field of negotiation and conflict resolution.
A straightforward, universally applicable method for negotiating personal and professional disputes without getting taken-and without getting angry.
Getting to YES offers a concise, step-by-step, proven strategy for coming to mutually acceptable agreements in every sort of conflict-whether it involves parents and children, neighbors, bosses and employees, customers or corporations, tenants or diplomats. Based on the work of the Harvard Negotiation Project, a group that deals continually with all levels of negotiation and conflict resolution from domestic to business to international, Getting to YES tells you how to:
* Separate the people from the problem;
* Focus on interests, not positions;
* Work together to create options that will satisfy both parties; and
* Negotiate successfully with people who are more powerful, refuse to play by the rules, or resort to “dirty tricks.”
“This is by far the best thing I’ve ever read about negotiation. It is equally relevant for the individual who would like to keep his friends, property, and income and the statesman who would like to keep the peace.” –John Kenneth Galbraith
“The authors have packed a lot of commonsensical observation and advice into a concise, clearly written little book.” –Business Week “A coherent brief for ‘win-win’ negotiations which, if it takes hold, may help convert the Age of Me to the Era of We.” –Newsweek
"Zeitgeist Matters: If you want to know who changed Manchin's mind--you did"
"...this is a win engineered by everyone who ever wrote a letter to the editor, carried a sign at a march, went to jail blocking a pipeline, voted to divest a university endowment, sent ten dollars to a climate group, made their book club read a climate book. It’s for the climate justice activists who brought this fight into whole new terrain, the scientists who’ve protested, the policy wonks who wonked, and the people whose particular fights may have been sacrificed by the terms of this deal. (Them in particular—if Manchin had to deal because a pipeline he wanted was going down in flames, well, the people who made that possible are heroes)."
"It's not yet a done deal, and in any event far from a final win, of course. Now it’s time to make that same zeitgeist weigh on the financial industry, the other source of ultimate power in our society. It’s time for bank CEOs to feel what Manchin finally felt—the little shudder of worry at the idea that their names will be forever linked with the ravaging of a planet."
People Power refers to nonviolent popular protests that took place in the Philippines leading to the removal of President Ferdinand Marcos in 1986 and President Joseph Estrada in 2001, and one manifestation of Filipino participation in civil society and liberal democracy. The catalyst for the 1986 protests was the arrest of defected military leaders, and buoyed by public calls to protest by Catholic Cardinal Jaime Sin. Hundreds of thousands of protestors blocked the Epifanio de los Santos Avenue, also known as the EDSA. Marcos called for military action against protestors on the second day of demonstrations, but soldiers refused to fire on non-violent protestors; iconic images of nuns praying the rosary and offering flowers to soldiers captured global imagination. Marcos resigned the following day. The 2001 protests, in which Cardinal Jaime Sin again played a prominent role, were organized in opposition to corrupt President Joseph Estrada, who was subsequently impeached.
Sources:
Eva-Lotta E. Hedman, In the Name of Civil Society: From Free Election Movements to People Power (Honolulu: University of Hawai’i Press, 2006).
We simply have to hope that some now unknown technological fix is invented that will mitigate the impacts of climate change. We sure as hell aren’t going to do it by cutting emissions.
That would be nice but I'm not banking on it. Better that humans, realizing how bad the future's looking, cut way way way down on procreating--especially in the developed nations, and especially the US, given that we're the major industrialized nation with the greatest GHe--and in the really hot countries. (It pains me to hear about people in India.)
Thanks Jim, I agree this software will help increase visibility of the global warming threat. I'm curious about what is the prospect for the US and other countries to start using Carbon Credits as a way to reduce emissions?
Reagan planted the "government IS the problem" seed in this country, and with it the conviction on the part of far too many citizens that government is incapable of anything but wasting our tax dollars and complicating our lives with inessential restrictions and red tape. Thanks so much for showing us just a few of the many extremely competent and helpful government programs and web tools that can help all of us plan for the future. Thanks also for reminding us to pay attention to climate change and treat it like the emergency that Greta Thunberg has been telling us for several years now that this is.
If you have any contacts on the Carbon Credits subject please let me know. Meanwhile I am reaching out to experts I know, including one we both most trust and admire, Susan Fallows Tierney a true expert on utility regulation and economic equity.
Tom — yes, I agree, Susan F. Tierney is The person to go to on these subjects. (She was in DC this past week, for a big-deal panel on Decarbonizing the Grid.)
For any onlookers: Sue is my younger sister (one of two), and is Tom F's older sister, and is our guide on these topics.
something for the HEAT Map
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/07/27/climate/climate-change-fungi.html
Thank you! This is news to me.
According to the dry days map, the Pacific Northwest is one of the dryer places in the US. Even west of the Cascades. That doesn't make sense to me. And in fact, I remember probably around 1990 give or take a few years, seeing the amount of rainfall in Seattle, where I lived as a small child, and Washington DC, where I was living at the time. In DC, when it rained, which was fairly frequently in summer, if I remember correctly, it POURED!!! In Seattle, it drizzled, but for days on end. Annual rainfall in both was around 39 inches.
As a 2-year resident of Seattle, 20 years ago, I understand the question. But there appears to be actual modeling and "data" behind this projection. I am not sure of how exactly they come up with these projections. (And 100% agree about your distinction between the drizzle in PNW and the DOWNPOURS in the summertime East Coast.) But I think HEAT.gov goes into more detail.
Quite by accident while reading the article I posted above under "something for the HEAT" map, I just learned that there has been a major change in the pattern of rain in Seattle, from one of the comments:
"One thing not mentioned in the article that I wonder about is how mycorrhiza can survive in increasingly dessicated soils - I'd think a certain amount of moisture is key for them to be able to do their thing. Here in the PNW the average rainfall is sort of on an even annual keel but its distribution pattern has changed - it comes more concentrated instead of in long stretches of mist and drizzle like we used to get; our summer heatwaves are getting stronger and hotter and the result is that our soils become seasonally desiccated to degrees never seen before. Even our native plants are seriously stressed in the summer. We'll probably be like California in another 15-25 years, if not sooner."
Damn sad.
Question still remains, what will Texas & Congress do to meet these challenges? Not much until magical thinking and prayer chains are replaced by reason, science and courage to take on oil & gas money machines in Texas & neighbor Louisiana.
This is a good question, for which I will confess I have no good answer.
Welcome to the Program on Negotiation (PON)
https://www.pon.harvard.edu/about/
The Program on Negotiation (PON) is a university consortium dedicated to developing the theory and practice of negotiation and dispute resolution. As a community of scholars and practitioners, PON serves a unique role in the world negotiation community. Founded in 1983 as a special research project at Harvard Law School, PON includes faculty, students, and staff from Harvard University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Tufts University.
At PON, we are committed to developing the theory and practice of negotiation, to nurturing the next generation of negotiation teachers and scholars, and to helping students become more effective negotiators. We accomplish this through research, seminars, courses, conferences, publications and special events.
We believe that negotiation is an art and a science. Through different lenses, including law, business, government, psychology, economics, anthropology, the arts, and education, members of the PON community seek to better understand negotiations. Why did a deal not close that would have benefited both companies? Why did one country resolve differences peacefully, while another fought a bloody civil war? Why are some divorcing couples able to mediate their separation amicably, while others fight painfully and expensively in court?
There will always be conflict. In fact, many remark ruefully that conflict is a “growth industry.” Knowing how to negotiate to solve problems, make deals, build consensus, avoid violence, and manage intractable disputes is a competency that is vitally needed in the world.
The goal of reducing conflict and violence can seem like an impossible dream. At PON, we have the privilege of doing work in service to that mission, believing that increasing our understanding of negotiation and conflict management is one essential step forward.
Finally, welcome to our website. We invite you to explore the many resources it offers, and to find ways to connect to PON and each other whether you are a faculty member, student, practitioner, or a member of the public developing a budding interest in the field of negotiation and conflict resolution.
Getting to YES
A straightforward, universally applicable method for negotiating personal and professional disputes without getting taken-and without getting angry.
Getting to YES offers a concise, step-by-step, proven strategy for coming to mutually acceptable agreements in every sort of conflict-whether it involves parents and children, neighbors, bosses and employees, customers or corporations, tenants or diplomats. Based on the work of the Harvard Negotiation Project, a group that deals continually with all levels of negotiation and conflict resolution from domestic to business to international, Getting to YES tells you how to:
* Separate the people from the problem;
* Focus on interests, not positions;
* Work together to create options that will satisfy both parties; and
* Negotiate successfully with people who are more powerful, refuse to play by the rules, or resort to “dirty tricks.”
“This is by far the best thing I’ve ever read about negotiation. It is equally relevant for the individual who would like to keep his friends, property, and income and the statesman who would like to keep the peace.” –John Kenneth Galbraith
“The authors have packed a lot of commonsensical observation and advice into a concise, clearly written little book.” –Business Week “A coherent brief for ‘win-win’ negotiations which, if it takes hold, may help convert the Age of Me to the Era of We.” –Newsweek
https://www.pon.harvard.edu/about/
agree: phenomenal, seminal article!
Bill McKibben, climate scientist and activist:
"Zeitgeist Matters: If you want to know who changed Manchin's mind--you did"
"...this is a win engineered by everyone who ever wrote a letter to the editor, carried a sign at a march, went to jail blocking a pipeline, voted to divest a university endowment, sent ten dollars to a climate group, made their book club read a climate book. It’s for the climate justice activists who brought this fight into whole new terrain, the scientists who’ve protested, the policy wonks who wonked, and the people whose particular fights may have been sacrificed by the terms of this deal. (Them in particular—if Manchin had to deal because a pipeline he wanted was going down in flames, well, the people who made that possible are heroes)."
"It's not yet a done deal, and in any event far from a final win, of course. Now it’s time to make that same zeitgeist weigh on the financial industry, the other source of ultimate power in our society. It’s time for bank CEOs to feel what Manchin finally felt—the little shudder of worry at the idea that their names will be forever linked with the ravaging of a planet."
"Together we can do it. Together we’ve done this"
full article here: https://billmckibben.substack.com/p/zeitgeist-matters July 27 2022
Thank you Diana.
I'll take that credit. I tweeted Manchin, I think on multiple occasions, about his legacy.
every little bit helps!
we should remember the People Power movement:
People Power
People Power refers to nonviolent popular protests that took place in the Philippines leading to the removal of President Ferdinand Marcos in 1986 and President Joseph Estrada in 2001, and one manifestation of Filipino participation in civil society and liberal democracy. The catalyst for the 1986 protests was the arrest of defected military leaders, and buoyed by public calls to protest by Catholic Cardinal Jaime Sin. Hundreds of thousands of protestors blocked the Epifanio de los Santos Avenue, also known as the EDSA. Marcos called for military action against protestors on the second day of demonstrations, but soldiers refused to fire on non-violent protestors; iconic images of nuns praying the rosary and offering flowers to soldiers captured global imagination. Marcos resigned the following day. The 2001 protests, in which Cardinal Jaime Sin again played a prominent role, were organized in opposition to corrupt President Joseph Estrada, who was subsequently impeached.
Sources:
Eva-Lotta E. Hedman, In the Name of Civil Society: From Free Election Movements to People Power (Honolulu: University of Hawai’i Press, 2006).
Image Credits:
"People Power Monument," Kathline Tolosa (2011).
https://rpl.hds.harvard.edu/faq/people-power
We simply have to hope that some now unknown technological fix is invented that will mitigate the impacts of climate change. We sure as hell aren’t going to do it by cutting emissions.
Deus ex machina.
That would be nice but I'm not banking on it. Better that humans, realizing how bad the future's looking, cut way way way down on procreating--especially in the developed nations, and especially the US, given that we're the major industrialized nation with the greatest GHe--and in the really hot countries. (It pains me to hear about people in India.)
Thanks Jim, I agree this software will help increase visibility of the global warming threat. I'm curious about what is the prospect for the US and other countries to start using Carbon Credits as a way to reduce emissions?
Tom, thanks, this is another good question for which I don't have a comparably good answer. But at least this is some step.
(And, you heard about "Tiger James" this morning, right? He, Jack, and Max are next-generation bearers of the family name.)
Reagan planted the "government IS the problem" seed in this country, and with it the conviction on the part of far too many citizens that government is incapable of anything but wasting our tax dollars and complicating our lives with inessential restrictions and red tape. Thanks so much for showing us just a few of the many extremely competent and helpful government programs and web tools that can help all of us plan for the future. Thanks also for reminding us to pay attention to climate change and treat it like the emergency that Greta Thunberg has been telling us for several years now that this is.
Thank you.
This is one phenomenal piece, one of your best Jim. Congrats.
Bob, thank you so much; I appreciate it very much.