A Presidential Address for This Moment
‘We’ll teach them how to say goodbye.’ A dramatic way for Joe Biden to demonstrate his strength, and the nation’s. An imagined speech, with 120 days to go until the election.
In January, 2017, just before the Obama team turned power over to Donald Trump, members of the Hamilton cast performed at the White House. Here Lin-Manuel Miranda (right), as Hamilton, tries to talk Christopher Jackson, as Washington, out of his decision to voluntarily give up power when he could easily have held on.
Hamilton: “They will say you’re weak.” Washington: “No. We will show we’re strong…. We’ll teach them how to say goodbye.”
Here were some people listening in the front row that evening. Seven years later, Joe Biden could reflect on the event and the song. (Screenshots from Hamilton YouTube channel.)
Address to the Nation
President Joe Biden
July 2024
My fellow Americans:
I’d like to talk with you tonight about the faith that connects nearly all of us who share the blessing of calling ourselves Americans.
That is a faith in the country’s past and a belief in its future. And a willingness, in the here and now, to do what we can—to fulfill our duty—to make our country stronger, prouder, fairer, greater.
More open to opportunity. More equal under the law. More faithful to the values to which so many generations of Americans have pledged “our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor,” as our founders put it nearly 250 years ago in the Declaration of Independence.
Through my long life I’ve been conscious of my own good fortune, in having ancestors who came here from Ireland to make a new start. Like so many of us I’ve worked toward a world that can be brighter for our children, and their children, and the generations to come.
The three great commitments of my life have been to family, faith, and country. Every day, in every moment of my public life—through the half-century since I first was elected to the US Senate, through the eight years in which I served as vice president, and most of all in these past four years when I’ve had the honor and responsibility of service as your president—I have thought about what I owed my family and my faith, but always and above all what I owed my country.
I am immensely proud of what we have achieved together in these past four years. We, together, as Americans: The millions who voted for me. The millions who voted for my opponent. The millions who didn’t vote at all, or couldn’t. All of us who make up the national family, and the world community that depends on us. America at its finest has never been completed but has always been moving forward. In our economy, in our place in the world, in our attention to long-neglected problems, we have a long way to go but have been moving ahead.
This progress must continue. The risks of moving backward are too great. And—to be blunt—the dangers at the moment are too grave, if control of America’s public institutions and its immense power, if its reputation abroad and its wellbeing at home, should fall back into the hands of someone whose loyalty extends only to himself.
Knowing these stakes, I have thought carefully and clearly about the duty history asks of me at this crucial time—this ‘inflection point,’ as I often say. The duty that surmounts all others is making sure that leadership of the world’s greatest democracy remains with those who believe in democracy itself. We must guarantee that America is led by people who believe in America. Our nation has never had an election-denier and convicted felon in charge of its government. Nor one who disparages our military and courts and the other institutions that keep us strong. Who preaches division and promises retribution. It cannot risk doing so now.
In recent weeks I have listened hard to critics, and supporters. I have talked with my family and staff and tried to look honestly at myself. I believe the record shows that I and my team were the right people, at the right time, for the challenges of the past four years. We did our duty, and I believe historians will say that we met the moment well.
But I have come to realize that I can now best fulfill my duty in the fight for American values by passing the torch. I have always done my best, in my time. Now it is time for outstanding figures from our next generations—talented, idealistic, already highly experienced—to take their leading roles.
We need the strongest candidates through the all-important next four months until the election. We need the most-qualified prospects for continued progress in the four years after that. We need to ensure that the next leaders of our country will be ones who appeal to the best in our national spirit, not pander to the worst.
In this moment, my duty to the country and to history is to do everything I can to help such leaders prevail. Therefore I am tonight sharing with you my conclusion that I should no longer be a candidate in the coming election. I will remain on duty through every moment of my first term as your president. But I do not seek re-election to a second.
This is a difficult and personally painful decision, for someone who has spent so much of his life in public office. But my family, my faith, and my belief in my country make me sure it is the right one. My commitment to this new course is total. I hope that all who have been so generous in their faith and support for me, especially my friends and allies in my own party, will understand. I hope they will wholeheartedly follow my lead.
It is beyond question that my opponent should have made a similar decision long ago—or responsible members of his party should have made it for him. His ethical and temperamental failings are obvious. His contempt for our nation’s ideals is even more so. The threat he represents to our nation’s future and the free world’s values is enormous.
But—despite the Supreme Court’s latest reckless ruling on presidential power—there is nothing I can do directly, or ethically, to stop him. All I can do is use every fiber of my being to see that a free electorate chooses a different path.
If the decision were solely up to me, I would naturally start with Vice President Harris, who has entirely fulfilled my belief that she was the right one to stand at my side, and next in line, on major decisions for our nation. I know something about the challenges of being a vice president. In these four years she has earned my absolute trust, gratitude, respect, and support.
But I know that this next decision cannot be solely up to me. A democratic system requires democratic decisions, above all from the Democratic party. I am prepared to do all in my power to help Americans of my political party, and all parties, to come together in enthusiastic support of its next candidate.
I owe this great country everything. I will continue to give it my very best. I do so this evening in committing to join you, my fellow Americans, next year in what the great Justice Louis Brandeis once called “the most important political office, that of private citizen.” And to using every moment between now and then to ensure that our next leaders are ones truest to our nation’s ideals.
May God bless you all. And may God protect our troops and continue to guide our nation toward the light.
OPENING ROUND OF RESPONSES BY JF:
Here is a first-stab, grab-bag response to the many, many people who have written in. I won’t manage to answer every comment directly. But so many important points have been raised that I’ll try to follow up with several in the busy days ahead. The question addressed in this post – what is the right decision for Joe Biden, and for the country – obviously is not going away.
To set up a few, big overall points,
1) IS THIS PART OF THE BIG 'DUMP JOE' BANDWAGON FROM AN OUT-OF-TOUCH MEDIA ESTABLISHMENT?
I regard Joe Biden with enormous admiration and respect. (I’m just judging on his public record -- I’ve never met him). I think his administration overall is arguably the most successful Democratic presidency of my lifetime. “Arguably” because you could argue, which is not my purpose right now. “Democratic” to distinguish what he has done from administrations that have “succeeded” in doing things I consider harmful, like tax cuts skewed toward the rich, or packing the Supreme Court, with results we’re seeing now.
Also, as readers of this site are aware, I’ve posted more items that I can count about reflexive media pooh-poohing of Biden, and how often he has “defied expectations” in his legislative, diplomatic, political, and other accomplishments. His avowed self-image, as the guy who keeps “coming back” again and again, is something I believe in and one of many reasons I have been glad to have him in the White House.
My position now is similar to the one my friend EJ Dionne described in the Washington Post yesterday [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/07/07/biden-interview-old-age-democrats/]. As with EJ, I’ve been so impressed by the steadiness of Biden’s team that until very recently I’ve dismissed concerns about his possible frailties. I have come late, and reluctantly, to the view that he can best meet the emergency of the moment – stopping Donald Trump – but letting someone else lead that charge.
2) DOESN'T ROCKING-THE-BOAT AT THIS LATE STAGE JUST INVITE CHAOS, DISASTER, FACTIONAL FEUDING, AND DEFEAT?
That exact concern is why I have said, and written, that by the start of this year it was “too late,” in practical terms, for the Democrats to change their ticket. Unlike most of the electorate, I do remember the bitterness of the 1968 Democratic convention, and the damage it did – including to the Democrats’ prospects. I was a teenager then, but I was a recent veteran of the Carter administration during the bitter 1980 Democratic primaries and convention, and I saw all too clearly how the bitter Kennedy/Carter warfare helped doom Carter in the general election.
As I say, I’ve come reluctantly to the conclusion that the greater risk for the Democrats – and therefore for the nation, in fending off Trump – lies in not making a change. I could be wrong, but that’s what I believe now. Later I’ll try to give more details – EJ Dionne’s column lists some.
3) WHY WOULD YOU DO THIS AS A 'SPEECH'?
It’s a form I find easy and natural.
“Regular” writing, for things designed to be taken in via the eyes on a page (or screen), I view as “work.” You type out the same sentence 15 different times and then discard the 14 worst versions. Writing designed to be *heard* – a speech or a broadcast – I find much quicker and easier, usually just one-draft writing. You start giving the speech to yourself in your head. Then you type down what you hear.
Also, for me, this kind of presentation is a way to *demonstrate* (rather than describe) how Joe Biden might go out on top, and explain why something seemingly out of character – stepping aside – actually is consistent with his deepest lifetime principles and goals.
4) WHY DO THIS 'IN PUBLIC,' WHERE IT IS 'EMBARRASSING,' AND NOT BACKSTAGE TO PEOPLE IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
Over the years I’ve met some of the people who are closest to Biden. For better or worse I have zero ongoing contact with them or presumed ability to get their attention.
Also, the main point of being a writer is doing things “in public.” Except in rare circumstances, a writer’s job is to put views out there in general circulation. If you’re sending the messages in private, you’re a consultant or an aide. (Or a friend, but I don’t have that standing with the Biden team.)
5) DOESN'T PUBLISHING SOMETHING LIKE THIS ACTUALLY MAKEIT HARDER FOR BIDEN TO EXPRESS VIEWS LIKE THIS IN PUBLIC? BECAUSE IT COULD SEEM FOLLOW-ON, DERIVATIVE, AND BOWING TO OUTSIDE PRESSURE?
Maybe. Like everyone, I’m operating in uncharted terrain, and making judgments with limited, fluid, and incomplete information. A week ago I did a Tweet to similar effect, which I think stands up: https://x.com/JamesFallows/status/1807477278982455521
Here was its gist:
"Most decisions presidents face are no-win. All options are bad. The prez gets to choose which is least-worst. That's one reason almost all prez look 20 years older after 4 years on the job. (Not Trump, because he didn't deliberate like this.)
"The choice now facing Biden—and if he doesn't want to go, no one can push him (he has the pledged delegates)—is IMO the hardest and most important "least-worst" call any prez has faced in decades, through most Americans' lives.
"-It's bad if he stays. Bad in the way that matters: stopping Trump.
"-Would the only thing worse be if he left? Everyone has a theory; absolutely no one can be sure. But the choice has to be made, soon.
"This is an enormous-stakes, in-public demonstration of what maxims like "The Buck Stops Here" mean. A choice between bad, and perhaps even worse, that will affect all of our futures and whose rightness will be clear only in retrospect. Be wary of anyone who thinks this is an easy call."
6) WHAT HAPPENS NEXT? WHAT ABOUT KAMALA HARRIS? HOW IS SAYING 'FIND SOMEBODY NEW' ANY DIFFERENT FROM THE CLASSIC STARTUP PITCH-DECK, WHERE YOU WAVE YOUR HANDS AND MAGICALLY THERE'S PROFIT?
I don’t know. This is a very hard call with an unknowable outcome. I’m expressing my best judgment as of now.
7) WHAT ABOUT THE THINGS THAT ARE WRONG WITH TRUMP? WHY NOT TALK ABOUT THEM
?
I've tried. They represent the central stakes in the election. As I tried to make clear in an overnight-assessment of the fateful debate ten days ago https://fallows.substack.com/p/election-countdown-130-days-to-go , and in this latest post as well itself.
8) WHAT ABOUT COMMENTS ON THIS SITE?
I am grateful to nearly everyone who has weighed in. I have a range of actual appointments and duties and travel immediately ahead. I’ll engage as many as I can.
So far, over nearly three years, I’ve never had to police or remove any reader’s comment. If I do so in this case it will be after a note to the authors, giving them a chance to reconsider or clean things on their own.
THAT IS IT FOR NOW. Again my gratitude for your attention and engagement. This is a tough call, with enormous stakes, and we're all operating largely in the dark.
Hmm. None of the smart political scientists or historians I read think a brokered convention goes well. This seems like a recipe for chaos. Why not get party leaders consensus on Harris as a condition of leaving and say “you have already voted for me and VP Harris. To release those votes to be cast for candidates you all didn’t get to choose seems wrong and undemocratic. I want to protect your vote. So I urge you all to rally behind I ticket I will no longer lead but will support with all my heart.”
Honestly, academic voices have not been loud in this mess because we admit we aren’t positive of much. But we are positive of one thing. A brokered convention, esp one that passes over Harris, is electoral poison and we can’t afford it.